The first tropical cyclone of the season is brewing across the South Pacific, and it can bring impacts to Fiji and Vanuatu through early next week. The 1978–79 South Pacific cyclone season ran year-round from July 1 to June 30. Welcome to the 2020-21 South Pacific cyclone season forum page! The South Pacific tropical cyclone season is typically from 1 November to 30 April. The slow movement of the storm could mean that the threat of tropical rainfall and gusty winds may last for several days. Tropical Cyclone Bulletin This TC Potential Bulletin describes any current cyclone activity, along with details of possible cyclone development over the next few days. With a La Nina event established in the tropical Pacific, there is an increased risk of flooding across the Fiji islands this season, the office warned. SPSD Tropical Program Products: Dvorak Classifications: Satellite Imagery: Subjective position and intensity estimates of tropical disturbances and cyclones across the globe using the internationally recognized Dvorak technique. The 2017–18 South Pacific cyclone season was a slightly below-average season that produced 6 tropical cyclones, 3 of which became severe tropical cyclones. "A track slightly farther to the east could bring widespread heavy rainfall, flooding and mudslides across Fiji, along with an increased threat of damaging winds," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty said. The 2020–21 South Pacific cyclone season is a currently ongoing period of the year when most tropical cyclones form within the South Pacific Ocean to the east of 160°E. 1978–79 South Pacific cyclone season; Season summary map. It is normally issued during the TC season from 1 Nov to 30 Apr, but also outside this period if required for a potential or active cyclone. Microsoft may earn an Affiliate Commission if you purchase something through recommended links in this article. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021. The risk level is rated as “normal”. 1986–87 South Pacific cyclone season; Season summary map. A total of 13 tropical cyclones developed during the season. The office said that the past cyclone seasons saw a number of tropical cyclones pass through the west of the Fiji islands. The area of low pressure that eventually became Yasa began developing near American Samoa earlier last week as it first strengthened into a tropical depression on Friday, while to the north of Fiji. Tropical cyclones have a significant impact across the Southwest Pacific, with the season officially starting in November and lasting until the end of April. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021. End of 2019/ 2020 South Pacific Cyclone Season Report - Localisation during Overlapping Responses: COVID-19 Pandemic & Tropical Cyclone Harold Due to the aforementioned availability of favorable conditions, this tropical depression is expected to strengthen as it churns near Tonga over the next few days. Pago Pago International Airport recorded 62 mm (2.43 inches) during this timeframe, and higher amounts likely fell in the mountains of the island. The VMGD said that as compared to others, the cyclone risk level for this cyclone season is "normal to normal-elevated risk". Tropical Cyclone Bebe was a pre-season storm that impacted the Gilbert, Ellice, and Fiji island groups. South Pacific Tropical Homepage. While urging communities in the island nation to take necessary precautionary measures, the VMGD said it will continue to monitor the tropical cyclone situation and will provide an update if La Nina conditions change over the coming months. The se… The potential tropical cyclone will likely drift into stronger steering-winds at the jet stream level of the atmosphere by Wednesday and will likely get quickly whisked away from any landmasses. Connect with friends faster than ever with the new Facebook app. With fluctuations of the path of Yasa still possible, the stronger winds could approach closer to land should the center of the cyclone track farther to the west or east. Reasonator; PetScan; Scholia; Statistics; OpenStreetMap; Locator tool; Search depicted; Subcategories. Following days of disorganization, the first storm of the season has finally reached tropical cyclone strength in the South Pacific and forecasters say additional development is not far behind. The New Zealand Meteorological Service produces an annual outlook for cyclone activity in the South Pacific. Personally, due to the possibility of La Niña conditions, I will not be surprised if this season's overall activity is below average. The 1993–94 South Pacific cyclone season was a near average tropical cyclone season with five tropical cyclones occurring within the South Pacific to the east of 160°E.The season officially ran from November 1, 1993, to April 30, 1994, with the first disturbance of the season forming on December 26 and the last disturbance dissipating on April 25. In Fiji, the Nadi Weather Office has predicted that one to three tropical cyclones are likely to hit the island nation during this cyclone season. South Pacific Cyclone Forecast. The latest typhoon watches and warnings for the South Pacific Basin. TROPICAL DEPRESSION KROVANH - Current Wind Speed: 25 knots - max predicted speed: 30 knots at 2020-12-21T18:00:00.000Z View Satellite and Storm Details → South Indian Storms. "Favorable conditions for tropical cyclone formation including light wind shear and warm ocean waters, are currently in place across the region," Douty explained. The tropical cyclone season, which runs from Nov. 1 to April 30 every year, can cause widespread rainfall and flooding in the cyclone-hit island countries. The crews of hundreds of ocean-going yachts fear being stranded in the Pacific islands during cyclone season with usual safe havens in New Zealand and … Torrential downpours, gusty winds and rough seas will impact the region into Thursday. Enditem, 010020070750000000000000011100001394856121. First spotted on October 20, the system intensified and grew in size through October 22. Analysis of tropical cyclone track sinuosity in the South Pacific region using ARCGIS. The 1979–80 South Pacific cyclone season saw mostly weak systems. Its course began along a south-southwest trajectory before recurving near the 14th parallel south, which resulted in a south-southeast motion through the western portion of the Fiji island group. Boaters should exercise caution and avoid open waters when possible. Yasa will not be the only tropical concern for the South Pacific basin this week. The season officially started on November 1, 2020 and will end on April 30, 2021, however a tropical cyclone could form at any time between July 1, 2020 and June 30, 2021 and would count towards the season total. As of late Sunday night, local time, Yasa was drifting slowly to the south-southwest under 10 km/h (6 mph). The season officially ran from November 1, 2019 to April 30, 2020, however a tropical cyclone could form at any time between July 1, 2019 and June 30, 2020 and would count towards the season total. The 2003–04 South Pacific cyclone season was a below-average season with only three tropical cyclones occurring within the South Pacific to the east of 160°E.The season officially ran from November 1, 2003 to April 30, 2004 with the first disturbance of the season forming on December 4 and the last disturbance dissipating on April 23. The outlook for Tahiti (marked with a star) is for 0-1 cyclones in the 2018/19 season. These bands of heavy rain can bring the risk of flash flooding and isolated wind damage. The season officially began on November 1, 2017 and ended on April 30, 2018; however, a tropical cyclone could form at any time between July 1, 2017 and June 30, 2018 and would count towards the season total. Tropical cyclones affect Pacific island countries in most years and can impact coastal regions even when they remain well offshore. This category has the following 9 subcategories, out of 9 total. The season began on November 22 with the formation of Tropical Cyclone Rita, which would later become a severe tropical cyclone. Before developing into a tropical cyclone, this tropical low brought heavy downpours to American Samoa from Monday to Wednesday, local time. The average numbers of tropical cyclones during the season in the western and eastern regions are six and four, respectively. The season officially runs from November 1, 2018 to April 30, 2019; however, a tropical cyclone could have formed at any time between July 1, 2018 and June 30, 2019 and would count towards the season total. For the coming season, important differences are expected between the western and eastern halves of the Southwest Pacific basin and also for early and late season activity. The 1995–96 South Pacific cyclone season was one of the least active South Pacific tropical cyclone season's on record, with only four tropical cyclones occurring within the South Pacific Ocean to the east of 160°E. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season typically extends between 1 November and 30 April. There is again an elevated risk of such cyclones for this season. It is reported that tropical cyclone activities in the South Pacific region are closely associated with the El Nino Southern Oscillation, which is a fluctuation of oceanic and atmospheric condition between the eastern and western tropical Pacific Ocean. This system will begin to pick up speed on Thursday and track southeast, likely narrowly avoiding landfall over Fiji. The first storm developed on January 12, while the last one dissipated on April 2. South Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season has 3,530 members. Two of the four systems developed into severe tropical cyclones on the Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale. A South Pacific tropical cyclone is a non-frontal, low pressure system that has developed, within an environment of warm sea surface temperatures and little vertical wind shear aloft in the South Pacific Ocean. Northwest Pacific Storms. The 1998–99 South Pacific cyclone season was a near average South Pacific tropical cyclone season, with 8 tropical cyclones occurring within the South Pacific Ocean basin between 160°E and 120°W.Despite the season starting on November 1, the first tropical system of the season did not form until December 1, while the final disturbance of the season dissipated on May 27, 1999. In Tonga, its meteorological services agency said on Monday that there are currently no tropical cyclones in the Tonga area and the likelihood of one forming in the next five days until Nov. 6 is very low. The 2016–17 South Pacific cyclone season was the least active South Pacific cyclone season since the 2011–12 season, with only four tropical cyclones occurring within the South Pacific Ocean to the east of 160°E. The 2018–19 South Pacific cyclone season was a below-average season that produced 5 tropical cyclones, 2 of which became severe tropical cyclones. Tropical cyclones affect Pacific island countries in most years and can impact coastal regions even when they remain well offshore. Seasonal boundaries; First system formed: November 20, 1986: Last system dissipated: May 22, 1987 : Strongest storm; Name: Uma • Maximum winds: 165 km/h (105 … At its time of formation, Yasa packed wind speeds equivalent to a tropical storm in the Atlantic and East Pacific basins. An area of disturbed weather located south of American Samoa organized enough to become a tropical depression on Sunday, local time. Typhoon tracking maps, current sea temperatures, and more. The season ran from November 1, 2011 to April 30, 2012, however, any tropical cyclones that form before June 30, 2012 would have fallen within the 2011–12 tropical cyclone year and would have counted towards the season total. The chart below shows their prediction for each region. The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department (VMGD) said on Monday that at least two to four tropical cyclones are expected to pass through the island nation during the 2020/2021 season. Vanuatu usually sees two to three cyclones in a cyclone season, and most of these cyclones occur during the period from January to March. Tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere reaches its peak from mid-February to early March. The 1986–87 South Pacific cyclone season was an event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. Vanuatu + 10 more. South Pacific cyclone season: Authority control Q64994928. “During La Niña, cyclone activity is more likely in the west of the South Pacific, that is in and around the Coral Sea, especially late in the season from February to April. 2020-21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season (Betting pools) 2020-21 Australian Region cyclone season (Betting pools) Future start. The system will push generally southeast over the next few days and can bring periods of heavy rain to portions of American Samoa, Tonga and Niue. 1979–80 South Pacific cyclone season; Season summary map. Tropical Cyclone Yasa is expected to continue to bring impacts to Fiji and Vanuatu through midweek as the storm strengthens and moves slowly between the two nations. Unpublished MSc Thesis, University of the South Pacific, 155 Pages. The season officially ran from November 1, 1995, until April 30, 1996. SUVA, Nov. 2 (Xinhua) -- The tropical cyclone season running between November and April has started in the South Pacific region with one to four tropical cyclones being expected to affect some island countries such as Vanuatu and Fiji. The average numbers of tropical cyclones during the season in the western and eastern regions are four and seven respectively. 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